Actuarial estimator · moderate-to-severe TBI, 1-year survivors

Remaining life years after traumatic brain injury

Enter a patient's characteristics to estimate expected remaining years of life, with the full step-by-step audit trail the estimate is built from. Implements the four-step disability-graded life-table procedure and the SMR screening fallback described in Bala (2026).

Patient inputs

Four inputs drive the estimate: current age, sex, and either functional category or injury severity.

Current age40 yrs
Sex
Estimation method
Functional category

Estimated remaining life expectancy

25 further years

Projected mean age at death 65 · General-population figure at this age 39 yrs

Reduction vs general population
14 yrs
Relative reduction
36%
Method
Functional
Survival curve from current age This patient General population

Audit trail

Every quantity that produced the estimate, for review and reporting.

Read before use — this is an estimate, not a prediction

  • The figure is a population mean for a group of similar patients. It is not a guaranteed lifespan for any one person and must be presented as such.
  • The model omits several known mortality modifiers, including problematic alcohol or drug use, psychiatric comorbidity, and post-injury seizures. Adjust by clinical judgement for the specific case.
  • Functional categories are broad. The "does not walk, fed by others" group overstates survival in the most extreme neurological states (prolonged disorders of consciousness, gastrostomy dependence); "walks well" is pessimistic for people living wholly independently.
  • Parameters derive from United States moderate-to-severe TBI cohorts of inpatient-rehabilitation survivors, and predate the COVID-19 pandemic. Extrapolation to other health systems, untreated injury, or uncomplicated mild TBI is uncertain.
  • The severity (SMR) mode is a screening approximation only, assuming constant relative risk across age. Prefer the functional method where FIM data exist.
  • Intended as a structured aid to — not a replacement for — individualised clinical judgement. Pair every estimate with its caveats and, where required, a standard error.